Washington Matters


Headaches for McCain in Latest Polls


The new statewide polls are filled with bad news for John McCain, and the closer you look the worse it gets.

 

Most of the attention has focused on the Quinnipiac polls that show McCain trailing in the crucial swing states of Florida (47-43), Ohio (48-42) and Pennsylvania (52-40).  No one has won the presidency since 1960 without winning at least two of the three. But there's even more ominous news elsewhere.

 

A new North Carolina poll by the Civitas Institute, a conservative think tank, has McCain leading Obama 45-41, within the 4% margin of error. Obama is working to put North Carolina in play for the first time since 1976 and he looks to be succeeding.

 

Looking further into the Quinnipiac polls must also be depressing for McCain. Obama leads by more than 10 points among women in all three states, while men are split almost evenly. Black voters continue to go for Obama by over 90%.

 

And for congressional Republicans, the polling news just gets worse. A SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky shows GOP Senate leader Mitch McConnell leading his Democratic rival, Bruce Lunsford, by only 50-46, within the 4% margin of error. Rack up yet another seat that in a normal year would be safe but that  Republicans now will have to protect with valuable and scant resources that otherwise could be used to defend even more vulnerable seats.

 




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