The 2009 Cars: Deals Are Insane

Turmoil in the industry could mean a terrific bargain for you.

By Mark Solheim, Senior Editor

From Kiplinger's Personal Finance magazine, March 2009
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Auto sales in 2008 were the worst in 16 years, and this year could be even grimmer. Dealers desperate to move inventory off clogged lots are entertaining the lowest of low-ball offers. Add in generous cash rebates and low-interest financing -- at least, for the most creditworthy customers -- and screaming bargains abound.

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Incentives recently averaged $2,900 per vehicle, or 18% higher than a year ago,according to Edmunds.com. No surprise that carmakers were most generous with gas guzzlers: Incentives for luxury cars averaged $6,600 per vehicle; trucks were also a steal, with $5,400 givebacks. Even the most coveted cars are selling at fire-sale prices. When we asked CarBargains, the buying service of the nonprofit Consumers' Checkbook organization, to shop for our 11 Best New Cars, they found nine of them for less than invoice (the dealer cost).

If you're in the market for new wheels, our annual buyer's guide gives you the tools to choose a vehicle and negotiate a fair price. We start by sorting the hundreds of 2009 models by price and category; then we rank them for performance, value, safety, roominess and our driving impressions.

BLOOD IN THE SHOWROOMS
Detroit is bearing the brunt of the slump, but things are tough all over. Toyota, the most bulletproof of carmakers, announced its first operating loss in 70 years. Sales of German and Asian luxury cars, which are linked to a strong stock market, have sunk along with the Dow.

But to paraphrase Baron Rothschild, the time to buy a new car is when there's blood in the showrooms. The average transaction price dropped throughout 2008, reports Power Information Network, ending the year at $26,690, or $810 less than a year ago. With the federal funds rate hovering near zero, money for auto loans is cheap. Banks are still charging more than 6%, but credit unions offer better deals. Plus, foreign carmakers have lots of money to lend, and zero-percent-interest offers are plentiful.

One argument for buying soon is that the best deals may go away later in the year. Carmakers are reducing production and dealers are slowly but surely reducing inventories, so by midyear there should be less of a glut.

IT'S ALL ABOUT MPG
When gas hit $4 a gallon last summer, Americans finally seemed to grasp the problem of unbridled use of fossil fuels. Those high prices changed the sales dynamic, and cars overtook trucks (which include not only pickups but also truck-based SUVs, crossovers and minivans).

While car sales skidded 11% in 2008, truck sales crashed by 25%. Compared with the bloodbath in large vehicles, subcompact- and compact-car sales stayed relatively strong: Subcompacts gained 21%, and compacts dropped just 4%. Plus, more buyers chose thrifty four-cylinder engines over six-cylinders.

Incentives and cut-rate financing are running more or less inverse to the fuel-efficiency of a vehicle. Last November, Kelley and Paul Newman of Indianapolis discovered that the dealer wouldn't budge on the sticker price of one of the hottest vehicles of the year, the Honda Fit.

The Fit, which gets 33 miles per gallon on the highway, is a utilitarian yet sporty subcompact (it wins Best New Car in our Under $20,000 category). The Newmans paid the manufacturer's suggested retail price, $17,780, for the Sport model, minus $1,000 for the trade-in of Paul's ten-year-old Honda Accord, which had 220,000 miles on it and needed a few repairs. "We're a Honda family," says Kelley, "and fuel-efficiency was high on our list."

But Bill Cormicle of Flint, Mich., got a sweet deal on his new Saturn Vue, a model that was piling up on dealer lots. Cormicle was replacing a GMC Sonoma pickup and needed enough space to carry five people plus haul stuff in the back. He had been eyeing the new Vue hybrid, but when GM delayed production of that model, he chose the 2008 four-cylinder Vue (sticker price, $22,380; highway mileage, 26 mpg).

Because Cormicle's dad worked for GM, he qualified for the employee discount, which knocked 10% off the sticker price. "But dealers were giving that discount to everyone," says Cormicle. "So my dealer took another $500 off the price." The final cost: $20,028.

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Discuss

Reader Comments (14)

Posted by: Bob at 02/09/2009 01:58:09 PM

I just can't too excited by these new cars when several that I owned in the 1980s got just as good or better fuel economy and didn't have all the junk and gimmicks which certainly aren't worth the added cost to me. With traction or stability control there are those who will simply drive faster when anyone with common sense knows it's time to slow down. I suspect that the auto price bubble will burst soon no matter what the price of oil. With the downward spiraling wage scale in this country, just how many will be buying the $30,000+ new autos that will have a junkyard value of just $100 twelve years later?...

Posted by: Bob at 02/10/2009 11:12:13 AM

...using terms like "new wheels" and "sweet deal" had me wondering if you weren't tryin a little stylin. Although Crazy Guy has used the term that the "Deals are insane" at his dealership for years. It never made me want to run right down there and buy.

Posted by: Roy Caples at 02/13/2009 10:09:04 AM

It is hard to beleive average prices of $26k+. It seems to me that average hard-working families will make due for 5 to 10 years with repairs, tires and batteries for a great deal less. As people are more aware of what makes them happy, cars seem very low on the list of priorities. These "deals" don't seem that great.

Posted by: Dennis at 02/13/2009 10:21:59 AM

The two individuals in this article did not get the best deal they could. I recently purchased a 2009 Murano from Nissan. The MSRP was $35,900. I never told them how I would purchase; i.e., lease, purchse w/loan, or cash. I traded in a 2003 Nissan Sentra with 52,000 miles on it. According to Kelley Blue book the trade value was worth $5,500. I got the the MSRP price down to $28,500 less a trade in of $7,500 which was Kelly's retail private sale price for the 2003 Sentra. My net price was $21,000. I received a discount of $6,400 off the MSRP and netted an additonal $2,000 more for the trade-in for a total discount of $23,000. I purchased the car Xmas week of 2008. I did not know anyone who worked for Nissan and Nissan was not offering any cash incentives on the Murano. It was offering 0% for three years to the best of customers. I took the 0% for three years on top of my discounted price. The average Joe does not know how to bargain with dealerships. I have the method and understand how a dealership functions. Remember, the longer an auto remains on the lot the more it will cost the dealer in interest for the floor plan. If you want to know how I do it, let me know.

Posted by: AG at 02/13/2009 02:09:14 PM

Folks, MPG is not the only criteria. I was going to replace my 8 year old car. The car was fine; but my parents needed one and I gave it to them. I replaced it with a RAM 2500 Diesel Pickup. Gets 22 MPG so far. But, since I walk to work and only use it for side trips; the MPG is really meaningless. It can tow; and 12K$ off the price was a great deal. In the end, it is not the fuel, but the price you pay in the aggregate for what you get. If you have a short commute; or can bike/walk as I do; then "it just doesn't matter."...

Posted by: johnb at 02/13/2009 02:42:25 PM

ok, dennis, how DO you do it? how do you sleep at night after taking such advantage of a car dealer? :-)

Posted by: Bob at 02/13/2009 03:31:58 PM

Well Dennis I just hate it when someone says I didn't get the best deal I could. My point was that to me no new car is ever the best deal for saving money and that there has not been enough improvement in mileage or features to justify even your $23,000 deal. I will be the guy who goes into the dealer and buys your used 2003 Sentra for $6,000 cash and drive it for another 100,000 miles. During that time even with $4 gallon gas,new tires,routine maintenance, and a battery I will spend maybe another $14,000. Total cost will be under $20,000 even if I junk the car for $100. This is still less than your new car before you drive it off the lot and your expenses really begin(higher insurance,interest payments,etc). So you just keep outsmarting those dealers with your method and buying those new cars. I'm going to need another good used one in about six years. I've never had a Murano. I hope you picked a nice color.

Posted by: Rob at 02/13/2009 04:29:12 PM

Okay Dennis, I want to know how you do it. Please share for all of us. :)

Posted by: Eyecare at 02/13/2009 06:11:10 PM

I understand that the dealer still makes a profit even though he sells the car at "invoice". Apparently there's a profit margin built into the invoice price that's almost as much as the difference between it and the MSRP. Some go as far as stating that if you pay more than invoice you've paid too much.

Posted by: JohnG at 02/14/2009 01:28:07 PM

Small problem. The use of the term Big Three - How much did Ford take from the government?? $0. Quality ratings - new F150 - Motor Trend truck of the year, Oh - you might want to look at the new 40MPG Fusion with quaity equal to or greater than anyone else. Buying American just makes good sense when everything remains equal - you employ more people, support the economy - not just assembly, but product development, engineering, US technological advancement,etc. Seems to me Kiplinger has an anti USA bias when it starts it's review.How about some distinction between auto makers, how about some accuracy and fairness in journalism!

Posted by: doug at 02/15/2009 03:57:26 PM

Buy American? My first American vehicle was a Ford Expedition. I'm on the 3rd transmission after 140K miles. I can't even begin to describe the other issues and costs I've had with that vehicle. The Expedition is based on the F-150 engine/frame. I'll stick with Toyota or Honda. American quality sucks no matter how many words try to paint it otherwise... and it cost me in the wallet.

Posted by: Jake at 02/15/2009 06:55:07 PM

2007 Ford Eddie Bauer 4WD Explorer, V-8; 2009 Ford Limited AWD Flex (loaded) Zero complaints. Great vehicles. People need to carefully consider what they actually want from a vehicle; write it down; then evaluate your short list of vehicles on paper and behind the wheel. For us, above vehicles were the winners and we have no intention of selling or trading for several years. Each to their own.

Posted by: Robert Gatcombe at 02/16/2009 04:17:30 PM

Hopefully Detroit will get the picture, streamline and produce new decent innovative vehicles. I am the proud owner of a 2004 Accent, and 2008 Elantra with 100,000 mile warranties. Neither vehicle has EVER been in the shop for anything otther that routine maintenace. When GM, Ford, and Chrysler can equal that, I will go back to American. My last "new" GM truck, gas guage broke at 60,000 miles, and the rear main seal started leaking at 63,000, both out of warranty of course, so I traded for a Chrysler and lost my butt when I traded the Chrysler because the value had dropped so much.......

Posted by: Al at 02/16/2009 07:45:09 PM

I bought a Ford Explorer and a Toyota Sienna eight years ago. The ford had 2 computer glitches and the engine shakes badly in idle. No problem with the Toyota. Both cars had the same amount of care. I sold the Ford 2 years ago and I am still driving the Toyota with 180,000 miles. Something is not right with the way we built the American cars.

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