China’s Control Over Rare Minerals Troubles Pentagon
U.S. officials say they can’t sit back and just hope that Beijing will provide what’s needed for crucial defense equipment.
U.S. officials are getting worried.China has cornered the market on rare earth metals vital to defense and for three years in a row has cutback on exports on which the Pentagon depends. Officials say it’s time the U.S.takes action to assure a long-term supply.
In the lastdecade, China has moved aggressively, acquiring mines around the world that nowaccount for more than 90% of global production of the most desired rare earthmetals, such as terbium, dysprosium, molybdenum, thorium, erbiumand yttrium. Because of their special qualities, several are used in defense applications,especially in missile assemblies, radars, satellites and power supplies.
The U.S. no longer keeps many rare earthson hand, although atthe height of the Cold War, the U.S. national defense stockpile included severalhundred materials and mineral ores. The stockpile, worth billions, included alot of lead, nickel and copper but also many precious metals largely found inAsia, Australia and parts of South America. In recent years, however, thePentagon sold off the stockpile in order to accumulate parts and assemblies forships, planes and military weapon systems.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
This was not a problem while suppliesof rare earths were easily obtainable.But in each of the last three years, China has kept more rare earths forinternal use and cut exports accordingly. Experts think that trend willcontinue. Chances are that the Chinese government also is stockpiling the oresinstead of allowing them to be traded in the global market.
Some U.S. military officials and leadingmembers of the House and Senate Armed Services committees want to start restockingat least some of the rare earth materials over the next several years. Rare earths are not used inhuge amounts, but many are expensive; dysprosium costs about $50 per pound andis used in communication systems. Terbium costs about $150 per pound and isused in avionic systems and radars.
The prospectof many years of limited supplies of about a dozen rare earth minerals islikely to spur the U.S. to negotiate with mining companies in countries such asAustralia and Argentina about increasing exploration for rare earths andrestricting further acquisition by China of rare earth mines.
The North Americanmarket for rare earths is about $1 billion per year, but there may be moredemand in the future, especially with a growing market for electric vehicles.Rare earths are used in batteries for electric cars. Japan, also dependent onChina for rare earths, likely a major producer of electric cars, also may beginbuilding a strategic reserve in the next few years.
Tight globalsupplies from China will lead to more prospecting, although there are only afew countries in which geologists expect rare earths to be found in large enoughquantities to make mining operations worth the investment. Among them are SouthAfrica, Greenland, Mongolia, Paraguay and New Guinea.
For weekly updates on topics to improve your business decisionmaking, click here.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Soar to Start the Santa Claus Rally
All three main equity indexes flew like the down of a thistle on Christmas Eve.
By David Dittman Published
-
AI Wants You to Overspend on Gifts This Season: What to Do About It
I urge you to doubt AI advice just as much as you doubt flesh-and-blood advice.
By Howard Dvorkin Published
-
Europe Faces Economic and Political Headwinds Next Year
The Letter Challenges for Europe: Potential tariffs, high energy prices and more competition from China will weigh on the bloc in 2025.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
Don't Sleep on Japan's Economic Transformation
The Letter After almost three lost decades, Japan — one of the world's biggest economies — is finally showing signs of life.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
Kiplinger Outlook: Telecom Companies Brace for Tough Times
The Letter The telecom industry is entering a new era that threatens profitability. But the coming Trump administration will make it easier for the major players to adjust.
By John Miley Published
-
Start-ups Trying to (Profitably) Solve the World’s Hardest Problems
The Letter More investors are interested in companies working on breakthrough science to tackle huge societal challenges. The field of deep tech has major tailwinds, too.
By John Miley Published
-
The Big Questions for AR’s Future
The Letter As Meta shows off a flashy AR prototype, Microsoft quietly stops supporting its own AR headset. The two companies highlight the promise and peril of AR.
By John Miley Published
-
China's Economy Faces Darkening Outlook
The Letter What the slowdown in China means for U.S. businesses.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
AI Start-ups Keep Scoring Huge Sums
The Kiplinger Letter Investors continue to make bigger bets on artificial intelligence start-ups, even for small teams with no revenue. Some backers think a startling tech breakthrough is near.
By John Miley Published
-
Should We Worry About the Slowing U.S. Economy
The Letter With the labor market cooling off and financial markets turning jittery, just how healthy is the economy right now?
By David Payne Published