IT: A Bright Spot in the Economy
Consumers and businesses may be tightfisted on most spending, but not when it comes to information technology.
The information technology industry is having a growth spurt — welcome news for a U.S. economy that’s otherwise barely creeping along. Spending on IT will climb by about 5% next year, following a 7% jump this year over last. Consumers shelling out for hot new gadgets play a part, but the biggest outlays are by firms upgrading equipment and services. Total U.S. expenditures on IT will come close to $625 billion this year, versus about $600 billion in 2011.
Cash in on Cloud Computing
The IT sector’s strong upswing after several lackluster years is also good news on the jobs front. Overall, the labor pool of skilled IT workers is tight. Dice.com, a leading IT job-listing site, currently has more than 80,000 postings from companies looking for workers. The industry jobless rate was just 4.7% in July. For the U.S. as a whole, it was 9.1%.
Among IT’s growth drivers: Business spending on powerful mainframe computers and the “cloud,” which lets firms store computerized data and tasks on the Web, freeing them from having to manage systems internally in whole or in part. Explosive tablet computer sales, social networking and other Internet services are also fanning the flames.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Mainframes. Used by businesses to crunch financial, sales and other data, these machines are undergoing a once-in-a-decade upgrade cycle — music to the ears of IBM, the leading manufacturer. IBM’s mainframe revenue will be up over 50% this year.
Cloud computing. Look for American businesses to invest about 20% of their annual IT budgets on cloud applications by 2020, up from just 2% now. The payoff for firms will be huge. It costs just 3¢ per month to store 1 gigabyte of information in the cloud versus 75¢ in-house. With businesses collecting data in ever larger amounts, storage services by third parties will see demand soar. Providers include Amazon, IBM, Rackspace, Apple, Microsoft, Hewlett-Packard, Dell and Oracle.
Spending on cloud computing and storage could top $1 trillion by 2014. Even Uncle Sam is getting in on the act. Government IT managers plan to shutter 800 data centers around the country in favor of cloud services from private firms. The most sensitive documents will be kept in-house, though.
The tablet phenomenon. Hard to believe these small, superthin computers burst onto the scene just over 15 months ago, because they’re already ubiquitous. The tablet turf is dominated by Apple’s iPad, of course, with a 61% market share. But keep an eye on Amazon and Barnes & Noble, which will offer tablet versions of their popular e-readers this fall. Odds are sales for both new products will take off.
Social networking. Figure on it becoming more splintered in coming years, with the emergence of many smaller sites geared to particular occupations or interests. One such example: Biznik, a networking site for entrepreneurs and small businesses.
The next big thing? A new Internet protocol, IPv6, to be rolled out by 2014. It will open doors to a slew of new devices — meters, home automation gizmos, sensors embedded in bracelets and many more — all able to send and receive data over the Internet. If you think a lot of apps are out there now, just wait a while.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks End Higher in Whipsaw Session
The main indexes were volatile Thursday with Nvidia earnings in focus.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Trump Picks Dr. Oz as Head of Medicare and Medicaid
President-elect Donald Trump picked Dr. Mehmet Oz to lead the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Here's what to know about the former TV host.
By Kathryn Pomroy Published
-
Kiplinger Outlook: Telecom Companies Brace for Tough Times
The Letter The telecom industry is entering a new era that threatens profitability. But the coming Trump administration will make it easier for the major players to adjust.
By John Miley Published
-
Start-ups Trying to (Profitably) Solve the World’s Hardest Problems
The Letter More investors are interested in companies working on breakthrough science to tackle huge societal challenges. The field of deep tech has major tailwinds, too.
By John Miley Published
-
The Big Questions for AR’s Future
The Letter As Meta shows off a flashy AR prototype, Microsoft quietly stops supporting its own AR headset. The two companies highlight the promise and peril of AR.
By John Miley Published
-
China's Economy Faces Darkening Outlook
The Letter What the slowdown in China means for U.S. businesses.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
AI Start-ups Keep Scoring Huge Sums
The Kiplinger Letter Investors continue to make bigger bets on artificial intelligence start-ups, even for small teams with no revenue. Some backers think a startling tech breakthrough is near.
By John Miley Published
-
Should We Worry About the Slowing U.S. Economy
The Letter With the labor market cooling off and financial markets turning jittery, just how healthy is the economy right now?
By David Payne Published
-
New Phones Get All the Hype, but Consumers Still Love Old Models
The Letter Even as flashy artificial intelligence features drive sales of new smartphones, used phones continue to fetch big bucks as demand outstrips supply.
By John Miley Published
-
Starlink's Internet Beamed From Space Is Taking Off
The Kiplinger Letter Satellite broadband provider Starlink is taking over the space market. Amazon’s mega-constellation will soon join the fray, adding to the unprecedented disruption.
By John Miley Published