5 Ways to Avoid Common Investing Pitfalls
Emotions and ignorance can cloud your judgment and hurt your portfolio. Here’s how to stay clearheaded and focused.
The start of a new year brings hope and optimism and an opportunity to reflect on some of our financial decisions. Many investors are happy to put 2015 behind them. No asset class performed very well last year. The best of the bunch, equities, yielded a modest 2%, according to data from Societe General, which would make 2015 the hardest year to make money in the markets since 1937. (The 2008-2009 market meltdown was a disaster for equities, but people forget that another asset class, Treasuries, performed strongly during the recent downturn). Even in strong markets, investors often fall into unnecessary traps. Here are five of the most common investment pitfalls and ways to avoid them:
1. Getting emotional about the market. The ever-developing field of Behavioral Finance teaches us that people often rely on shortcuts or "rules of thumb" in an effort to simplify complex scenarios. Many experts believe that these shortcuts in the decision-making process, commonly known as heuristics, are behind many of the financial bubbles that we have seen throughout history.
Take the availability heuristic, for example. It leads investors to make judgments based on how easily a set of circumstances can be recalled. Hearing a glowing report on a stock in the media, for example, or seeing a friend succeed financially, may lead us to believe the odds of success are greater than they actually are. In the late 1990s, we saw dot-com mania. Investors piled into shares of dozens of Internet start-up companies without regard for a company's business model or fundamentals, simply because the hype was everywhere.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Investment performance tends to suffer when we let emotions cloud our judgment. When things are going well, our mindset tends to shift toward feelings of invincibility and euphoria. We take on more risk than we should and, often, more risk than we realize. Conversely, studies have shown that losses hurt more than twice as much as gains bring pleasure. So we get defensive at precisely the wrong time.
Solution: Create a financial plan, and revisit it at least annually to track your performance, update assumptions, and reassess your risk tolerance. Remember, it doesn't matter if you beat your friends' performance or any other arbitrary benchmark. The only thing that matters is whether you can meet your financial goals (i.e., retire at a particular age, buy that beach house, pay for your children's college education, etc.).
2. Confusing good stocks with good companies (and vice versa). In the 1980s, Peter Lynch, one of the best money managers of all-time, preached "buy what you know." He suggested that there was money to be made by investing in companies whose products and services you were already familiar with. This simplistic strategy would often lead you to buy well-known companies with share prices that had already run up. The companies you know may be great companies but are often expensive stocks.
Solution: Market moves are usually exaggerated on both the upside and downside. The stock market is the only place where people rush to buy when prices go up and flee when prices go down. Remember that when shares go on sale, you can find bargains. Make a list of investments that you'd like to own and the prices you're willing to pay. When the market sells off, your list will help you stay disciplined.
3. Failing to recognize where we are in the business cycle. The peaks, troughs, and length of time between each phase may differ, but never forget that our economy is cyclical. The Federal Reserve manages monetary policy to maintain reasonable levels of inflation and low rates of unemployment. The result is that expansions always follow recessions, and the cycle continues. If the macroeconomic environment is weak or weakening, even the best stocks will usually decline.
Solution: Keep an eye on the overall economy, and familiarize yourself with how certain asset classes perform at different points in the business cycle. Morningstar groups the major sectors of the equity markets into three "super sectors": Cyclical, Defensive, and Sensitive. Each will react differently as we move through the business cycle.
4. Not knowing what you own. In days gone by, you could pick up your account statement and read the names of the companies that you were invested in. Today, with the widespread use of different types of investment vehicles, figuring out exactly what you own is not as straightforward. You may think you are diversified because you own various investments, but there may be significant overlap in the underlying holdings.
Solution: If you work with a financial adviser, ask for a Stock Intersection report. This is a report that shows your top individual holdings across your entire portfolio (in dollar value and as a percentage) and how many of your investments hold each position.
5. Not knowing when to sell. There are two predominant ways to analyze investments: Fundamental and Technical. Fundamental analysis looks at the underlying strength of the business and factors such as profit margins, revenue growth, cash flow, and management effectiveness. Technical analysis focuses on price movements, charts, and trends. If you are fortunate enough to have some winners in your portfolio, do not become emotionally attached. Nobody wants to miss out on additional upside. But sometimes you need to book your profits.
Solution: Have a predetermined exit price. If you make investment decisions based on fundamentals, your sell price could be based on attaining a specific Price-to-Earnings or Price-to-Cash Flow level. If you utilize technical analysis, you might exit based on a stock breaching a Moving Average or Relative Strength level. You may miss out on some upside using this approach, but you'll have locked in your gains and can now look for new investment opportunities.
Bryan Koslow, MBA, CFP®, CPA, PFS, CDFA™ is the President of Clarus Financial Inc., an Integrated Wealth Management firm with offices in NYC & NJ.
Securities and advisory services are offered through Commonwealth Financial Network®, Member www.finra.org / www.sipc.org, a Registered Investment Adviser. Clarus Financial Inc., 120 Wood Ave South, Suite 600, Iselin, NJ 08830. 732-325-0456. Please review our Terms of Use here.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
Bryan is the Founder & President of Clarus Financial Inc., an Integrated Wealth Management firm with offices in New York City and New Jersey.
Bryan is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA), Certified Financial Planner™ (CFP®), a Personal Financial Specialist (PFS), and a Certified Divorce Financial Analyst (CDFA™). He holds FINRA securities registrations Series 7, 63, 65, and has his New Jersey Life and Health Insurance license.
-
Oracle Stock Surges on Trump's Stargate Project
Oracle stock is higher Wednesday after President Trump announced the $500 billion AI-focused Stargate Project. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Is Netflix Stock Still a Buy After Earnings, Price Hikes?
Analysts were bullish on Netflix stock ahead of its earnings beat, but what is Wall Street saying now? We take a closer look.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Risk On, Risk Off: The Mr. Miyagi Approach to Retirement Planning
The first 10 years of retirement are some of the riskiest for your investments, but channeling your inner Karate Kid may help defend your funds against losses.
By Dale Smothers Published
-
Opportunities and Challenges When You Inherit an IRA
New SECURE 2.0 Act rules have kicked in to reshape distribution and taxes for inherited IRAs and retirement plans. Read on for strategies to help beneficiaries.
By Elizabeth Pappas, CPA Published
-
Getting Divorced? Beware of Hidden Tax Traps as You Divide Assets
Dividing assets fairly in a divorce means looking beyond their current values and asking whether they'll create tax liabilities — or tax breaks — in the future.
By Stacy Francis, CFP®, CDFA®, CES™ Published
-
All-You-Can-Eat Buffets: Can You Get Kicked Out for Eating Too Much?
Don't plan on practicing your competitive-eating skills at an all-you-can-eat buffet. You can definitely get kicked out. Plus, don't be a jerk.
By H. Dennis Beaver, Esq. Published
-
A Social Security Storm Is Gathering: Here's Your Safety Plan
If Social Security reserves are depleted by 2033, as predicted, future benefits could be cut by as much as 21%. Here’s how to weather the impending storm.
By Brian Gray Published
-
What a Second Trump Term Means for Investing in Water Safety
A new administration focused on deregulation could change the scope of today's water protections. So, what does that mean for the investors who support them?
By Peter J. Klein, CFA®, CAP®, CSRIC®, CRPS® Published
-
How to Avoid These 10 Retirement Planning Mistakes
Many retirement planning mistakes are easily avoidable. Here are 10 to have on your radar so you don't end up running out of money in your golden years.
By Romi Savova Published
-
Before the Next Time Markets Sink, Do Your Lifeboat Drills
An eventual market crash is inevitable. We can't predict when, but preparing for the ups and downs of investing is imperative. Here's what to do.
By Andrew Rosen, CFP®, CEP Published