David Payne
David is both staff economist and reporter for The Kiplinger Letter, overseeing Kiplinger forecasts for the U.S. and world economies. Previously, he was senior principal economist in the Center for Forecasting and Modeling at IHS/GlobalInsight, and an economist in the Chief Economist's Office of the U.S. Department of Commerce. David has co-written weekly reports on economic conditions since 1992, and has forecasted GDP and its components since 1995, beating the Blue Chip Indicators forecasts two-thirds of the time. David is a Certified Business Economist as recognized by the National Association for Business Economics. He has two master's degrees and is ABD in economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Latest articles by David Payne
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Interest Rates and the Fed’s Taper
Economic Forecasts What happens in January could set the tone for long-term rates for the rest of the year.
By Glenn Somerville Published
Economic Forecasts -
Rising Household Wealth Signals Surge in Consumer Spending
business The rebound is unequal, though, with makers of pricey items set to benefit more than those churning out staples.
By David Payne Published
business -
Interest Rates and the Real Unemployment Rate
Economic Forecasts There’s nothing magic about a particular unemployment rate. No one number is enough to indicate that the economy is healthy.
By David Payne Published
Economic Forecasts -
Why Do Jobs Go Begging?
Economic Forecasts A grievous mismatch of workers’ skills and job openings means millions go without paychecks while employers lack the help they need.
By David Payne Published
Economic Forecasts