Tesla (TSLA) stock soared on the outcome of the 60th U.S. presidential election, helped in no small part by CEO Elon Musk's ardent support of Donald Trump, now the 45th and the 47th man to win the White House.
Few things have greater allure for investors than the sight of rising prices, which leads to the question: should you buy Tesla stock?
To answer this question, it helps to look around one's physical environment. Are you reading these words at a desk with, say, six monitors displaying changes in asset prices across the globe in real time? Are these numbers fluctuating between the colors of red and green?
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
If the answer is “no,” then no, you should not buy Tesla stock based on the outcome of the election. After all, the idea is to buy low.
Besides, retail investors who own diversified funds that track the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite and the Nasdaq-100 probably have enough exposure to TSLA already. The electric vehicle maker's market cap of more than $920 billion gives it ample weight in these benchmarks.
TSLA stock: The Street weighs in
But let's say you are a stockpicker. Is Tesla a buy at current levels?
Certainly industry experts who cover the stock intensely should know. The problem here is that Wall Street is heavily split on the name.
Of the 52 analysts covering TSLA stock surveyed by S&P Global Market Intelligence, 12 rate it at Strong Buy, six say Buy and 19 have it at Hold. Furthermore, four call TSLA a Sell and seven say it's a Strong Sell.
This works out to a consensus recommendation of Hold. Meanwhile, the Street's average price target of $222.96 gives Tesla stock implied downside of more than 20% from current levels.
Part of the bear case on Tesla stock has always been its valuation, but that hasn't really worked out so far. The stock always looks expensive. Indeed, TSLA trades at 115 times expected earnings per share. And it has always been volatile. It sports a five-year beta of 2.3 and suffered a maximum all-time drawdown of 73%.
Volatility is a proxy for risk because it increases the odds of buying high and selling low.
And yet, despite these issues, Tesla stock has been a massive market-beater over the longer term. True, TSLA lags the S&P 500 badly over the past one- and three-year periods, but beyond that it has generated outstanding outperformance. Heck, over the past five years, TSLA beats the broader market by about 50 percentage points on an annualized total return basis.
On the other hand, as every prospectus says, past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.
If you were a Tesla bull before Tuesday night, hey, don't let the dream die. But adding exposure to Tesla stock when it's popping on knee-jerk trading action is generally not part of a sound investment process. At least not if you're not a professional.
Related Content
-
E-ZPass Scam Texts are Still Going Around. Here's What to Look Out ForScammers have been sending fake texts about E-ZPass for over a year. Know what to look out for and what to do.
-
A Savings Tool to Empower People With DisabilitiesAn ABLE account can improve quality of life for individuals with a disability — it permits tax-free saving for ongoing expenses without jeopardizing benefits.
-
Social Security Fairness Act: Five Financial Planning Issues to RevisitMore money as a public-sector retiree is great, but there could be unintended consequences with taxes, Medicare and more if you're not careful.
-
Social Security Warning: Five Missteps Too Many Women MakeClaiming Social Security is complicated, and for women the stakes are high. What you don't know can cost you, so make sure you do know these five things.
-
To Buck the Third-Generation Curse, Focus on the Family StoryThe key is to motivate the next generations to contribute to the family business in a productive way. You can look to Lawrence Welk's family as a prime example.
-
Walmart's Transformative Ways Spark a 100,000% Stock ReturnWalmart's strategic store expansion and relentless cost-cutting have catapulted its share price over the years.
-
20 Ways to Clean Up Your Finances This SpringSpring cleaning is therapeutic and stops costly problems from building up around the home. Why not tackle the dusty corners of your finances at the same time?
-
How Roth Accounts Can Ease Your Tax Burden in RetirementStrategic Roth IRA conversions can set you up for tax-free income in retirement and a tax-free inheritance for the people you love.
-
Are You a High Earner But Still Broke? Five Fixes for ThatIf you're a HENRY (a higher earner, not rich yet) but feel like you still live paycheck to paycheck, there are steps you can take to get control of your financial future.
-
Tax Diversification: Smart Ways to Preserve Your Nest EggA long and active retirement may be costly — and may even bump you into a higher tax bracket. Paying some taxes on your savings now could be the answer.
