6 Stocks to Watch for a Return to Normalcy in 2021
The COVID-19 crisis has been hard on many sectors, but as the tide starts to turn on the pandemic, these six companies appear ready for takeoff.
2020 was plagued by crisis after crisis, which took an enormous toll on our economy. The COVID-19 pandemic pushed more than 88 million Americans further below the poverty line, and small businesses were shut down.
However, as people begin to get vaccinated, 2021 is the best time to take advantage of the market's lowest prices on some domestic assets. Here’s a look at six stocks to watch, as they're well-positioned for a full return to normalcy.
1. Ulta Beauty
After several months of social distancing, people are excited to get out of the house and attend social events. The beauty industry will benefit from this alteration of 2020 through the sale of cosmetic products.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Ulta has fared well during the pandemic, and despite losing a majority of its store and salon business in March 2020, the company continued making sales through its e-commerce division. In its third-quarter earnings report for December 2020, the company recorded a 90% increase in e-commerce sales and a slight 8.9% decrease in overall sales.
Ulta Beauty (ULTA, $299.92) is among the stocks to watch for a good year in 2021. The Illinois-based cosmetic giant has started expanding into Target stores to provide exclusive in-store offerings to customers, making this a huge stock to watch.
2. US Foods Holdings
The pandemic severely hit the hospitality sector, but as normalcy resumes, people will begin to get back to their favorite restaurants. As a result, US Foods Holdings (USFD, $34.77) will benefit from the high demand for food by restaurants and hotels countrywide.
In March 2020, USFD stock prices had plummeted by nearly 50%, making it a suitable low-budget stock. However, I expect US Foods to have a strong 2021. Prices have been significantly rising, from $19.88 on July 15 to $35.59 on Jan. 14. The biggest drop was back in March when the pandemic hit. Additionally, USFD supplies food outlets such as restaurants, hospitals, clubs, military organizations and schools, all set for a full-swing reopening as we return to normalcy.
3. Alphabet
Alphabet/Google is one of the most diversified stocks. However, due to COVID-19, it saw a profound reduction in the number of online advertisements. The good news is that, with a return to normalcy, Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL, $1,892.56) has already bounced back. The low back in March was around $1,070, and currently the stock is around $1,700.
Experts expect a rebound in online advertisements as the hospitality and travel sectors enter a recovery period. Furthermore, as digital marketing techniques are quickly replacing traditional marketing, Google is expected to see a significant recovery in travel-related ads.
4. American Express
American Express (AXP, $126.14) had a tumultuous year as credit card revenue dwindled due to less spending and limited traveling in 2020. This saw a 20% decrease in revenue to $8.75 million and net income dropping by 39% to $1.07 billion in the third quarter.
Despite the decrease in consumer spending in 2020, I predict that AXP will make significant gains in 2021 with more people continuing to go out and businesses beginning to resume as normal. At the end of the third quarter of 2020, AXP had 48 fund investors, which is only 10 positions shy from its all-time highs.
The company has launched a “shop small” campaign to support small merchants in 18 countries to drive customer spending and loyalty. Additionally, AXP has expanded its services to China for the first time.
5. Diageo
With the reopening of recreational joints, including clubs and bars, the sales from alcoholic products will soar. Therefore, it is a very attractive time to pick stock positions in Diageo (DEO, $158.61).
U.K. liquor giant Diageo fared well through the pandemic, thanks to its highly diversified marketing options and business layout. According to revenue reports, DEO has over 150 production sites globally, with nine in North America. Therefore, its supply chain was marginally disrupted by the pandemic.
Furthermore, only 20% of the company's sales come from on-premises sales, and with drinking establishments closed, its attention shifted to the 80% off-premises channels, which sustained it through the pandemic.
As we return to normalcy, 18 hedge funds have already invested in DEO, which is an excellent sign of expected positive growth.
6. Walt Disney
Walt Disney (DIS, $172.78) is set for a 2021 roller coaster. The company has a market cap of over $300 billion and is set to grow as more people get vaccinated and feel free to travel.
Disney World already has some enticing offers to lure more visitors even after its holiday season ended. The possibility of an upcoming ease in social distancing regulations would enable the reopening of movie theaters, a market boost for Disney’s movie division.
As the company struggled through the COVID-19 murk, its Disney+ streaming services became a lifeline, garnering a record of 86.8 million new paid subscribers globally. The company expects to have more than 260 million paid subscribers by 2024 despite raising its subscription fee by $1 to $7.99 per month starting in March 2021.
The new year presents a gleam of hope after the introduction of various COVID-19 vaccines. However, your investment choices will significantly determine your success in 2021. Sectors that were worst hit by the pandemic present excellent market entry opportunities with a reassurance of a turnaround when normalcy returns.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
Josh Sailar is an investment adviser and partner at Blue Zone Wealth Advisors, an independent registered investment adviser in Los Angeles. He specializes in constructing and managing customized advanced plans for business owners, executives and high net worth individuals. He holds the designations of Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) and Certified Plan Fiduciary Advisor (CPFA), the FINRA Series 7, 63, 65 licenses, as well as tax preparer license.
-
5 Tips for Investing in the Trump Presidency
With Trump back in office, expectations are high the bull market will continue. Here's how investors can prepare.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Where to Retire: Living in Portugal as a US Retiree
Living in Portugal as a retirement landing spot has abundant advantages, but do your homework and due diligence first.
By Brian O'Connell Published
-
A Social Security Storm Is Gathering: Here's Your Safety Plan
If Social Security reserves are depleted by 2033, as predicted, future benefits could be cut by as much as 21%. Here’s how to weather the impending storm.
By Brian Gray Published
-
What a Second Trump Term Means for Investing in Water Safety
A new administration focused on deregulation could change the scope of today's water protections. So, what does that mean for the investors who support them?
By Peter J. Klein, CFA®, CAP®, CSRIC®, CRPS® Published
-
How to Avoid These 10 Retirement Planning Mistakes
Many retirement planning mistakes are easily avoidable. Here are 10 to have on your radar so you don't end up running out of money in your golden years.
By Romi Savova Published
-
Before the Next Time Markets Sink, Do Your Lifeboat Drills
An eventual market crash is inevitable. We can't predict when, but preparing for the ups and downs of investing is imperative. Here's what to do.
By Andrew Rosen, CFP®, CEP Published
-
This Late-in-Life Roth Conversion Opportunity Spares Your Heirs
Expensive medical care in the later stages of life is an unpleasant reality for many, but it can open a window for a Roth conversion that benefits your heirs.
By Evan T. Beach, CFP®, AWMA® Published
-
Women, What Is Your Net Worth?
Many women have no idea what their net worth is, or even how to calculate it. Many also turn to social media finfluencers for advice. Here's what to do instead.
By Neale Godfrey, Financial Literacy Expert Published
-
Converting Retirement Savings to a Roth IRA? Don't Do This
You might want to convert all of your savings to a Roth in one go, but you could end up paying hundreds of thousands more in taxes than you have to.
By Joe F. Schmitz Jr., CFP®, ChFC® Published
-
What Is Your 'Enough Is Enough' Number for Retirement?
Chasing a 'magic number' for retirement can be anxiety-inducing. Instead, build your plans around a personal number that reflects your individual circumstances.
By Scott M. Dougan, RFC, Investment Adviser Published