Stock Market Today: S&P Creeps Closer to Bear Market

If there was any good news Thursday, it was that the market's downward momentum from yesterday largely fizzled out. But the S&P 500 still edged ever nearer to bear-market territory in a mixed day for U.S. equities.

The Department of Labor reported that initial unemployment claims for the week ending May 14 rose to 218,000 – their highest level since January, well more than expectations for 200,000 filings, and up from last week's revised 197,000.

Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said later Thursday that he believes job growth looks ready to slow across 2022. "Major retailers are reporting margin pressure and softer consumer demand … This will lead to slower job growth in the retail and e-commerce industries in the rest of 2022," he says. Adams adds that companies in other sectors could become more cautious about hiring if the stock market selloff further dampens business sentiment.

Subscribe to Kiplinger’s Personal Finance

Be a smarter, better informed investor.

Save up to 74%

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters

Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.

Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.

Sign up

Also Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reported that April existing-home sales fell 2.4% month-over-month (and 5.9% year-over-year) to an annualized rate of 5.61 million.

The earnings calendar once again featured a blue-chip bust. This time it was Dow component Cisco Systems (CSCO, -13.7%), which edged out quarterly profit estimates (87 cents per share vs. 86 est.) but reported disappointing revenues ($12.8 billion vs. $13.3 billion est.) and forecast an unexpected drop in sales for the current three-month period.

Kohl's (KSS, +4.4%) added to a stack of weak retail reports, delivering a wide miss on profits and slashing its full-year financial forecast; KSS shares still improved after the company said it expects several buyout bids to be submitted in the next few weeks.

Sign up for Kiplinger's FREE Investing Weekly e-letter for stock, ETF and mutual fund recommendations, and other investing advice.

BJ's Wholesale (BJ, +7.4%) was a pleasant outlier, however, rising on its own earnings merits; revenues, comparable-store sales and earnings all topped analysts' views.

The major indexes all managed to bounce back a little from yesterday's drubbing. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.3% to 11,388, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.8% to 31,253. The S&P 500, meanwhile, fell 0.6% to 3,900 – a close below 3,837.25, just a 1.6% decline from here, would put the index in a bear market.

Another area to watch is around 3,800, where the S&P 500 could find stock-chart support, says Dan Wantrobski, technical strategist and associate director of research at Janney Montgomery Scott. Wantrobski adds that he was "encouraged" by yesterday's washout and felt "it brings us closer to an eventual low for the year."

Other news in the stock market today:

• The small-cap Russell 2000 bucked the trend, finishing marginally higher to 1,776.
• U.S. crude oil futures gained 2.7% to finish at $109.89 per barrel.
• Gold futures rose 1.7% to settle at $1,841.20 an ounce.
• Bitcoin's back-and-forth ways continued, with the digital currency up 2.4% to 29,934.68. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)
• Harley-Davidson (HOG) shed 9.3% after the company said it will halt production and delivery of its motorcycles for two weeks. "This decision, taken out of an abundance of caution, is based on information provided by a third-party supplier to Harley-Davidson late on Tuesday (5/17) concerning a regulatory compliance matter relating to the supplier's component part," HOG said in a statement.
• Several rail stocks fell today after Citi analyst Christian Wetherbee cut his ratings on a number of names in the industry. The analyst lowered his outlook for CSX (CSX, -4.3%), Norfolk Southern (NSC, -4.0%) and Union Pacific (UNP, -3.8%) to Neutral (Hold) from Buy, suggesting a slowing economy will drag on consumer demand for goods. Wetherbee said that while Citi is not "full baking in a recession" across their coverage, "an environment in which the U.S. avoids a recession" includes one where "consumer spending pivots meaningfully toward services and goods are sluggish."

Canada: Go for the Poutine, Stay for the Dividends

If you're searching for safety from 2022's market losses and volatility, don't duck for cover – climb up to Canada.

While the S&P 500 has spent the past week aggressively flirting with bear-market territory (20%-plus decline from a high), the S&P TSX Composite Index – a major Canadian stock-market benchmark – hasn't even fallen into a correction (10%-plus drop).

Part of this outperformance admittedly comes from how differently that index is structured than the S&P 500. Says Credit Suisse: "Perhaps most notably, the Canadian market benefits from large index weights in financials (generally positive with rising rates), energy (Canada is one of the world's largest oil and natural gas producers) and materials (multiple commodities with a renewed focus on potash and continued interest in ags, copper and gold)."

Nonetheless, Canadian stocks might be worth a look – especially if you're interested in securing reliable sources of rising income.

Earlier this week, we mentioned that the U.S. isn't the only part of the world that boasts Dividend Aristocrats – you can find a similar elite group in Europe, and yes, Canada has its own Dividend Aristocrats as well.

Again, like the European Aristocrats, these Canadian dividend growers have slightly different rules for inclusion than their U.S. counterparts. But they're nonetheless a great starting point for income hunters looking for fresh places to put new money to work – and we've singled out 20 of the best Canadian Dividend Aristocrats for American investors.