Monday's good-news-is-bad-news manufacturing data sparked concern over the Federal Reserve's rate-cut plans and kept a lid on sentiment.
Several key events over the next few weeks could impact when the central bank may or may not start lowering the federal funds rate including this Friday's jobs report, which economists expect to show a still-strong labor market.
S&P Global kicked off this morning's relatively busy economic calendar with the release of its March Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) which measures manufacturing activity. The index slipped to 51.9 in March from February's 52.2, though it was the third straight month it was above the 50 mark that indicates expansion.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management said its Manufacturing PMI swung into expansion territory in March, arriving at 50.3% vs February's 47.8%. However, the data also showed that the ISM's Manufacturing Price Index – a measure of inflation – rose to an 18-month high of 55.8% last month.
Recent hotter-than-expected economic reports have pushed back expectations on the Fed's rate-cut plans and today's data continued that trend. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, futures traders are currently pricing in a 57% chance the first quarter-point rate cut will come in June, down from 64% one week ago. The odds of it happening in July are at 52%, up from last week's 48%.
What's more, commentary from central bank officials seems they're in no hurry to lower the federal funds rate if they don't need to. Indeed, in a moderated discussion last Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will be careful about its decision to cut interest rates "because it can be. The economy is strong: We see very strong growth."
AT&T stock slips after data breach news
In single-stock news, AT&T (T) fell 0.6% on news of a massive cybersecurity attack. In a statement, the telecommunications company said it is investigating the data breach which likely took place in 2019 or earlier and impacted 73 million former and current customers. (Here's what to do if you were affected by the AT&T breach.)
AT&T also said that the incident has not had "a material impact on its operations."
Buffett buys more Liberty SiriusXM shares
Elsewhere, Liberty SiriusXM Group Series C (LSXMK) dropped 1.4% even after regulatory filings revealed Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B, -0.1%) bought 8.9 million shares over the final two weeks of Q1.
Form 4 filings also showed Buffett's holding company acquired 3.8 million shares of Liberty SiriusXM Group Series A (LSXMA, -1.3%), the class with voting rights. The two stocks have been a part of the Berkshire Hathaway equity portfolio since Q2 2016.
The full list of all the stocks Buffett bought and sold in the first quarter will be released next month.
As for the main indexes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6% to 39,566 and the S&P 500 shed 0.2% to 5,243. The Nasdaq Composite eked out a 0.1% gain to 16,396 on strength in several mega-cap stocks such as Alphabet (GOOGL, +3.0%) and Meta Platforms (META, +1.2%).
Related content
- Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Bonds: Know the Difference
- What Is Bitcoin Halving and Why Is It Important?
- Kiplinger's Earnings Calendar for This Week
-
Heirs Inheriting Crypto? Don't Make It a Headache for ThemIf you have cryptocurrency in your estate, you'll need meticulous plans and clear instructions to ensure beneficiaries don't lose out after you're gone.
-
DIY Retirement Planning: A Smart Move or a Risky Endeavor?You can cut the cost of retirement planning by doing it yourself. But for something this important, it might be wiser to call in the professionals.
-
Galentine's Day: A Time to Promote Financial Literacy Among FriendsHere are three things women can do to help their friends gain financial knowledge and confidence.
-
Stock Market Today: Markets Turn Lower on Nasty Inflation SurpriseEquities sold off after a hot reading on consumer price inflation pushed back rate cuts to autumn or year-end.
-
CPI Report Puts the Kibosh on Rate Cuts: What the Experts Are Saying About InflationCPI Consumer price inflation reared its ugly head to start the year, dashing hopes for the Fed to lower borrowing costs anytime soon.
-
These Two Issues Are Critical to Efficient Retirement PlanningYou're saving hard for retirement, but if you're not thinking ahead about taxes and the cost of health care, your savings — and your legacy — could be at risk.
-
How to Use Good Debt (While Identifying and Avoiding Bad Debt)Not all debt is bad, but knowing the difference between good debt and bad debt and how to use them can help you get ahead financially and stay ahead.
-
Stock Market Today: Markets Reflect Elevated UncertaintyInvestors and traders as well as CEOs and central bankers continue to adjust to a new administration in Washington, D.C.
