How Emerging Technologies May Influence the Future of Capital Markets

Updating legacy systems with next-generation AI can enable fully automated trading, risk assessment and liquidity optimization.

A trading graph floats about an open robot hand.
(Image credit: Getty Images)

Capital markets and banking institutions are facing an inflection point. While the financial services industry has started investing heavily in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing and automation, most firms remain anchored to legacy systems, outdated risk models and inefficient compliance processes.

The reality is stark: Many banks and trading firms generate vast amounts of data but struggle to derive actionable insights. Regulatory pressures are increasing, fraud threats are more sophisticated, and capital allocation inefficiencies persist. AI is no longer a futuristic concept — it is perhaps the only viable path forward for firms looking to stay competitive in an increasingly automated, data-driven market.

However, adoption is slow and fragmented. AI-powered trading strategies exist, but legacy IT infrastructures still dominate operations. Risk management is being enhanced with AI, yet compliance and regulatory reporting remain largely manual.

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To move forward, capital markets firms must transition from experimental AI projects to scalable, enterprise-wide AI-driven automation.

The data challenge: Capital markets firms are data-rich but insight-poor

Financial institutions are drowning in data. The volume of financial transactions, trading data and risk models has exploded in the last few years. Yet many firms remain reliant on Excel-based workflows, legacy core banking systems and fragmented data lakes that are difficult to integrate.

A recent example shows why it's imperative that banks step up fast to modernize any legacy systems: Citigroup came close to learning this lesson at a cost of $81 trillion (paywall). If banks fail to fast-pace their legacy modernization, it can backfire financially in serious ways.

AI-powered analytics can optimize trading strategies and improve risk assessment, but firms often lack the real-time data infrastructure necessary to support AI-driven insights.

Quantum computing is emerging as a transformative force that could help process complex financial models at unprecedented speed, yet adoption remains limited to a handful of early movers.

AI-driven liquidity management and predictive modeling could drastically reduce financial inefficiencies, yet banks continue to depend on outdated systems that require manual intervention.

What firms can start doing is moving from data hoarding to data activation. The right integrated firm decision-making and alignment for investments in AI-native analytics, data unification and real-time risk modeling will define the winners of the next decade.

Regulation and compliance: Why AI is the only path forward

All these global financial institutions collectively spend billions on regulatory compliance, anti-money laundering (AML) and fraud prevention. Yet much of this work is still manual, inefficient and prone to errors. AI-powered regulatory technology (RegTech) can automate compliance monitoring, fraud detection and real-time transaction audits.

Biometric authentication and blockchain-based audits will replace traditional identity verification processes, making transactions more secure and tamper-proof. AI-driven risk assessment models will proactively identify regulatory violations, reducing the risk of financial penalties and reputational damage.

The solution: move beyond reactive compliance and embrace AI-driven risk mitigation. AI-powered fraud detection, biometric know-your-customer (KYC) solutions and blockchain-backed auditing will help firms streamline regulatory processes and reduce compliance costs.

Agentic AI and the modernization of legacy banking systems

AI is no longer just an assistant in capital markets; it is becoming the decision-maker. From trading desks to compliance teams, agentic AI systems are emerging as the backbone of financial automation. Portfolio rebalancing, compliance monitoring and trade execution are increasingly being automated.

Traditional software-as-a-service-based (SaaS) risk management platforms are being replaced by AI-native, self-optimizing systems that can dynamically adjust to market conditions. AI-powered liquidity management will optimize capital flows, reducing dependency on human-driven decision-making. Multi-agent AI systems can solve complex, multi-step problems in capital markets. These AI agents collaborate in real time to optimize trade execution, risk monitoring and compliance audits.

The solution: Capital markets firms must phase out legacy infrastructure and invest in AI-driven platforms that support real-time, autonomous financial decision-making.

The rise of AI-driven trading and capital allocation

The next frontier in capital markets will be AI-powered trading algorithms that go beyond rule-based automation. Hedge funds and quant traders are already using machine learning to identify arbitrage opportunities, optimize capital allocation and execute trades in milliseconds.

AI will augment, and in some cases replace, human traders in the coming years, allowing firms to optimize execution strategies with real-time data insights. AI-powered asset allocation models will optimize capital deployment, helping funds get allocated to high-return investments with minimal risk. Predictive AI models will anticipate market trends, allowing firms to adjust portfolios before market shifts occur.

Industry reports, such as the IMF’s analysis on AI in capital markets, highlight the increasing role of AI-driven automation in risk management and capital allocation. A strategic approach is that financial institutions could prepare for AI-driven capital markets by investing in machine learning infrastructure and developing AI-driven trading models that adapt dynamically to market conditions.

Legacy platforms to hyper-autonomous systems

Financial institutions must phase out legacy infrastructure, and AI-native platforms must replace outdated core banking and trading systems. They must adopt AI-driven risk and compliance solutions to improve fraud detection, AML monitoring and regulatory reporting.

Leveraging AI-powered liquidity management will optimize capital allocation and trading strategies. Traders, portfolio managers and risk analysts must evolve alongside AI-powered systems to stay competitive in finance.

The future of capital markets will be driven by hyperautonomous AI-powered systems that continuously learn, optimize and execute financial operations with minimal human intervention. Firms that do not transition to hyperautonomous decision-making risk being left behind as AI-native competitors accelerate their dominance.

The new AI-driven financial future

The financial industry is on the cusp of an AI revolution, but many firms are still playing catch-up. While some capital market players are actively developing AI-driven trading models, risk automation and data-driven compliance frameworks, many institutions remain weighed down by legacy systems and inefficient workflows.

To remain competitive, firms must move beyond piecemeal AI adoption and integrate AI, data and automation into a single, cohesive strategy. The winners in this space will be those who invest in hyperautonomous AI-driven platforms, real-time analytics and autonomous financial decision-making.

These next-generation AI systems will redefine market operations by enabling fully automated trading, risk assessment and liquidity optimization. The laggards will continue to struggle with compliance costs, inefficiencies and shrinking margins. As I see it, the future of capital markets belongs to those who embrace AI-driven transformation.

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Disclaimer

The information provided here is not investment, tax or financial advice. You should consult with a licensed professional for advice concerning your specific situation.

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Jabin Geevarghese George
Global Service Delivery and Fintech Transformation Leader - BFSI Practice, TCS

Jabin Geevarghese George is a Global Enterprise Applications & Transformation Leader at TCS and an expert in Modernization, Agile & AI. Specializing in the seamless integration of technology within financial services, Jabin drives major fintech innovations and strategic transformations that redefine industry standards. His extensive expertise in enterprise architecture, systems modernization, agile methodologies and AI-driven projects enables him to enhance financial operations significantly, particularly for Fortune 500 clients.