VP Kamala Harris is on the Cusp of a Congressional Milestone: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
It all hinges on the next tiebreaking vote...

With a tight majority in Congress, Senate Democrats have leaned on Vice President Harris to push through plenty of legislation. To help you understand what is going on and what we expect to happen in the future, our highly-experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest...
Vice President Kamala Harris (D) is on the cusp of a historic milestone: the most tiebreaking votes in Senate history. Currently, Harris trails 19th-century record-holder John C. Calhoun, who cast 31 tiebreaking votes during his stint as vice president from 1825 to 1832, by a single vote. Ties have been common during Harris’s first few years in office, with Democrats holding precariously narrow 50-50 and 51-49 advantages in the chamber.
Most of her tiebreaking votes have advanced President Biden’s nominees for executive branch posts or federal judgeships. But Harris has also succeeded at getting major bills, such as last year’s Inflation Reduction Act, across the finish line.

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
It’s unlikely that Julie Su will receive Harris’s record-breaking vote. Biden’s nominee to lead the Labor Dept. faces significant opposition from Senate GOPers and lacks the support of three Democrat-aligned holdouts: Joe Manchin (D-WV), Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ) and Jon Tester (D-MT). Manchin is expected to vote no, while Sinema and Tester remain undecided, for now.
Su’s nomination isn’t dead quite yet. The White House hopes her role in brokering a recent deal between West Coast dockworkers and shippers will entice undecided Democrats. There’s also speculation the administration is trying to woo moderate Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), but it’s unclear if she’ll bite.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter, which has been running since 1923 and is a collection of concise weekly forecasts on business and economic trends, as well as what to expect from Washington, to help you understand what’s coming up to make the most of your investments and your money. Subscribe to The Kiplinger Letter.
Related Content
- Democrats and Republicans Battle to Reauthorize Appropriations Bills: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
- I'm Following Congress' Example and Skipping My Credit Bill: Crook Note
- Senate Races in Pennsylvania, Ohio Key to Control of Chamber
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
Sean Lengell covers Congress and government policy for The Kiplinger Letter. Before joining Kiplinger in January 2017 he served as a congressional reporter for eight years with the Washington Examiner and the Washington Times. He previously covered local news for the Tampa (Fla.) Tribune. A native of northern Illinois who spent much of his youth in St. Petersburg, Fla., he holds a bachelor's degree in English from Marquette University.
-
Why Toll Brothers Stock Is Falling After Earnings
Toll Brothers stock is lower Wednesday after the homebuilder missed expectations for its first quarter. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Why Bumble Stock Is Spiraling After Earnings
Bumble stock is sinking Wednesday as the online dating platform's weak guidance offsets a revenue beat. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
AMT and Pass-Throughs Add Complex Layers to 2025 SALT Tax Planning
The Tax Letter The state and local tax (SALT) deduction is a key sticking point in President Trump's tax plan.
By Joy Taylor Published
-
Donald Trump Tests His Limits
The Kiplinger Letter President Encounters Legal Obstacles in Pursuit of Ambitious Agenda.
By Matthew Housiaux Published
-
Six Hurdles for Trump's Tax Bill
The Tax Letter While the odds for a new tax bill in 2025 are quite good, there are some sticking points that President Trump and Congress will have to work through.
By Joy Taylor Published
-
What Could Derail the Economy This Year?
The Letter While the outlook for the U.S. economy is mostly favorable, there are plenty of risks that bear watching.
By David Payne Published
-
Three Ways President Trump Could Impact the Economy
The Letter Some of Trump's top priorities could boost economic growth, but others risk fueling inflation.
By David Payne Published
-
10 Predictions for 2025 from The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter As 2025 arrives, here are our top 10 forecasts for the new year.
By Letter Editors Published
-
Biden's Lame-Duck Agenda
The Letter President Biden rushes to tie up loose ends before Trump takes over.
By Matthew Housiaux Published
-
Could Millions of Taxpayers Be Facing the AMT (Alternative Minimum Tax) in 2025?
Tax Letter Millions of taxpayers could owe the AMT if Congress allows the tax breaks de-fanged in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act to expire.
By Joy Taylor Published