8 Ways the Drought Will Affect You
This year's drought, which is toasting more than half of the U.S., is the nation’s worst since the 1950s.
This year's drought, which is toasting more than half of the U.S., is the nation’s worst since the 1950s. Its impact will ripple through the economy, touching lives in a myriad of different ways -- from an uptick in fuel and some food prices to stringent water use restrictions. There are some drought upsides, too, including tastier fruit because most fruit trees like it dry, thank you very much.
Click through our slide show to see what the drought spells for you.
Higher Milk Prices
Drought and heat are stressing dairy cows, leading to lower milk production and higher milk prices in grocery stores in coming months. Though a gallon of milk has averaged 2% less than a year ago in recent months, slipping below $3.40, the drought will force an about-face. Look for milk and other dairy product prices to average at least 4% more next year than this year.
Cheaper Steaks (at least for now)
The drought will coax down already-falling beef prices even further, on average, from a record $5.09 a pound in January. Cattle ranchers are rushing to sell off more breeding stock because a whopping three-fourths of U.S. grazing areas are scorched.
Meanwhile, more cows are being slaughtered because pricey corn and soybean meal, both up 30%-40% since early June, make feeding them too costly.
The added beef on the market will trim both wholesale and retail prices. But next year, prices will zoom back up because of the depleted cattle herd.
Tastier Fruit
Thirsty tree roots need water, to be sure, but most fruit and fruit-tree leaves, not so much. Drought starves the fungi, bacteria and other organisms that want to foul a tree's fruit or destroy its leaves. So an unusually dry season produces high-quality fruit, even though thirsty soils can result in smaller fruit size, from apples in the North to peaches in Georgia.
Note, too, that while most of the country is parched, leading fruit-growing regions -- those near the West, Atlantic and Gulf coasts and parts of the North -- have had enough rain for their orchards this year, or they're irrigating. So shortages aren't likely, and prices of major selections, including cherries, cantaloupes and avocados, are running cheaper than a year ago.
Soda Shortage?
No worries, soda lovers. Though the vastly stunted corn crop will deplete the supplies of high-fructose corn syrup used in making soft drinks, sweets and bakery products, there'll still be plenty of your favorite soft drinks to go around. Soda makers will simply switch to using sugar instead of corn syrup, which some folks think is better for you anyway. As it turns out, U.S. sugar stocks are ample and an expected record crop of U.S. sugar beets in northern states this fall, followed by a big sugar cane harvest in the Gulf Coast region, ensures a more-than-adequate supply of sweeteners.
A Bump at the Gas Pump
By law, ethanol makes up 10% of the gasoline that most consumers buy at the pump, and ethanol prices are slowly rising in a nod to climbing prices of corn, a key feedstock for making ethanol. Some ethanol refineries are already cutting production. The decrease in savings from mixing ethanol in gasoline could raise gas prices by a few cents, especially as the effects of the drought become clearer in the coming months. Nonetheless, the price of crude oil plays a far greater role in determining prices at the pump.
Widespread Burning Bans
Even if your neck of the woods never or rarely faces burning restrictions, you may see them this year. Large swaths of Northern California, the Midwest and the Southeast are all at a high risk for blazes. Usually-moist Missouri is now a declared drought area, for example, the first time in several decades that the state has announced a summer fire season. And in temperate Indiana, which has 40 inches of annual precipitation normally, nearly all counties have implemented burn bans.
Water Use Restrictions
With 80% of the contiguous 48 states very short on rainfall this year, millions of urban and rural Americans will live with water use restrictions until rain recharges water sources and the spike in demand eases. Indianapolis residents can't water their lawns, for example, and in Nebraska, irrigation from most rivers and streams is banned, cutting off water to 1,100 farmers' fields.
Water conservation measures and use restrictions aren't common only to the dry Southwest and Great Plains anymore. Expanding population and increasing use of fresh water has led two-thirds of cities nationally, including 60% of small cities, to install conservation measures that can be activated when water is short.
More Mosquitoes at Your Cookout
The drought is generally detrimental to mosquito populations. Small pools, puddles, gutters and other favored breeding areas dry up with lack of rain. Still, the drought offers mosquitoes new breeding environs. As water levels fall in some ponds and streams, the bugs can reproduce on the edges of the stagnant pools that remain. Mosquito populations tend to dwindle in late summer, but the pests could rebound when these new habitats become more common throughout the drought.
More From Kiplinger
SLIDE SHOW: Save on Groceries Without Coupons
QUIZ: Warehouse Stores a Good Deal?
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
-
Take Charge of Retirement Spending With This Simple Strategy
To make sure you're in control of retirement spending, rather than the other way around, allocate funds to just three purposes: income, protection and legacy.
By Mark Gelbman, CFP® Published
-
Here's How To Get Organized And Work For Yourself
Whether you’re looking for a side gig or planning to start your own business, it has never been easier to strike out on your own. Here is our guide to navigating working for yourself.
By Laura Petrecca Published
-
Will lower mortgage rates bring relief to the housing market?
The Kiplinger Letter As mortgage rates slowly come down here's what to expect in the housing market over the next year or so.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
Car Prices Are Finally Coming Down
The Kiplinger Letter For the first time in years, it may be possible to snag a good deal on a new car.
By David Payne Published
-
New Graduates Navigate a Challenging Labor Market
The Kiplinger Letter Things are getting tough for new graduates. Job offers are drying up and the jobless rate is increasing. Are internships the answer?
By David Payne Last updated
-
The Best Places to Retire in New England
places to live Thinking about a move to New England for retirement? Here are the best places to land for quality of life, affordability and other criteria.
By Stacy Rapacon Last updated
-
What Does Medicare Not Cover? Seven Things You Should Know
Healthy Living on a Budget Medicare Part A and Part B leave gaps in your healthcare coverage. But Medicare Advantage has problems, too.
By Donna LeValley Last updated
-
When's the Best Time to Buy a Domestic Flight? The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter A new study by CheapAir.com has crunched the numbers.
By Sean Lengell Published
-
Woes Continue for Banking Sector: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Regional bank stocks were hammered recently after news of New York Community Bank’s big fourth-quarter loss.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
Anxious Flyers Take Note: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Whether it's the routes to avoid that have the most turbulence or the safest airline, we've got you covered.
By Sean Lengell Published